Typically, candidates for President have an extensive record of public service from which voters can extrapolate how the candidates principles operate in the real world. In Barack Obama, however, we are faced with a truly historic candidacy, in which the candidate has a brief and largely empty public career. His public statements on most major issues are confusing and contradictory. How does one evaluate a cipher? Luckily, the administrations of several governors offer clues as to how an Obama administration would proceed.
Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm was elected Governor in 2002 promising change from the policies of long-time Republican Governor John Engler. Granholm was perceived as an exciting new face on the political scene, and was featured in several national stories with California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger as a person who if not for their foreign birth would be a contender for the Presidency. Granholm spent much of her first term saying much and doing little, as Michigan industry suffered from high taxes, rising budget deficits, and the state’s hostile attitude toward business. With unemployment hovering around 7%, Granholm continued to blame her woes on her predecessor, riding this excuse to reelection in 2006. In 2007, Granholm passed a massive tax increase, driving up the losses of the auto manufacturers on which the economy of Michigan depends, and driving down the ability of local people to launch businesses in the state. Unemployment continued to rise, and the real estate market imploded. Listing of foreclosed homes in the Detroit News and Free Press rivaled the rest of the content in the paper. Today, Governor Granholm is the most unpopular politician in Michigan not named Kwame Kilpatrick.
Rod Blagojevich was elected Governor of Illinois the same year as Granholm. A close ally of Barack Obama, Blagojevich followed policies broadly similar to her. He forged forward with increased spending for health care programs while ignoring the impact on the state budget. Blagojevich also launched an ambitious program of infrastructure development to be accompanied by tax increases and a state Keno game. How did he pay for this? By withholding money from the state’s pension fund, a practice that would earn a corporate executive an indictment for fraud. Though Blagojevich had campaigned on promises to clean up the state government, his supporters and allies had different ideas. Blagojevich’s administration has been plagued by a series of high profile corruption scandals. Like Granholm, Blagojevich was able to successfully pass the buck well enough to secure reelection in 2006. However, the prosecutions of the culture of corruption surrounding Blagojevich and his political allies has continued. The scandals of the Blagojevich administration culminated with the indictment of one Antonin Rezko, of whose work you may be familiar. Having snatched the mantle of America’s most unpopular governor from Granholm, Blagojevich hopes that his friend and political protégé Barack Obama is elected President and is able to keep him out of prison.
Our third governor is so similar to Obama that the two have shared speechwriters and even phrases. Deval Patrick was swept into office through his eloquence and likeability. Though he has only been in office since 2007, but has already proven himself to be a candidate to dethrone Rod Blagojevich as America’s worst governor. He got his administration off on the wrong foot by spending $75,000 to hire a staff assistant for his wife, and for engaging in some ethically questionable lobbying on behalf of a bank. Patrick also made headlines for describing the terrorist attack of September 11th “A mean and nasty and bitter attack on the United States,” caused by “the failure of human beings to understand each other and to learn to love each other. “Mean,” “Nasty,” “Bitter,” doesn’t that sound familiar? While Patrick has not yet plumbed Pelosian depths of unpopularity, for a man who has been in office for slightly over a year he is off to a strong start.
What lessons do these governors offer for an Obama administration? Obama faces challenges similar to Jennifer Granholm, and offers similar solutions. Obama offers no plan to balance the budget, promises to increase corporate and income taxes, and generally stick it to business. In Michigan, these policies have resulted in increasing debt, political polarization, and economic implosion. The United States may be in a recession, but Michigan is in a depression, the only state in the union with a contracting economy. Rod Blagojevich, a product of the same Chicago political fraternity as Barack Obama, came into office with good intentions. The people who got him there, however, did not, and Blagojevich was unable to reign in their thievery. Deval Patrick is an inspiring speaker, but the evidence continues to mount that he was perhaps not quite ready for the office of governor. Patrick has made mistakes, mistakes which cost money, money that costs jobs. At the root of all of these governor’s problems, though, is a common faith in a New Left ideology that they share with Barack Obama. In these states, this ideology has been tried, and the results have been tragic for those families who have lost jobs to poor economic policies, malfeasance, or incompetence. Can we afford to inflict this experiment on the entire country?